Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.211061 0.239835 0.270678 0.306149 0.345767 0.388603 0.438374
2026-02-01 0.169551 0.207493 0.250870 0.303956 0.366989 0.439247 0.528152
2026-02-08 0.140472 0.183339 0.235147 0.302001 0.385573 0.486150 0.615865
2026-02-15 0.118810 0.164290 0.222047 0.300143 0.402256 0.530417 0.702510
2026-02-22 0.105233 0.153226 0.216917 0.306651 0.428666 0.587469 0.808210
2026-03-01 0.092051 0.140677 0.207908 0.306301 0.444981 0.631530 0.899065
2026-03-08 0.081421 0.130176 0.200199 0.306328 0.460897 0.675139 0.991162
2026-03-15 0.072732 0.121325 0.193642 0.306869 0.476841 0.718986 1.085448
2026-03-22 0.066507 0.115399 0.190595 0.311896 0.499083 0.772469 1.195897
2026-03-29 0.061792 0.111249 0.189684 0.319760 0.525655 0.833300 1.319953
2026-04-05 0.056658 0.105774 0.186039 0.322781 0.544618 0.883431 1.430338
2026-04-12 0.052638 0.101704 0.184189 0.328305 0.567530 0.940419 1.553690
2026-04-19 0.049313 0.098635 0.183941 0.336789 0.596354 1.009178 1.700743
2026-04-26 0.044719 0.092737 0.178277 0.335587 0.609060 1.053056 1.810931
2026-05-03 0.040603 0.087244 0.172766 0.334079 0.620940 1.096009 1.921659
2026-05-10 0.036923 0.082152 0.167457 0.332378 0.632159 1.138204 2.033021
2026-05-17 0.034798 0.079908 0.167186 0.339694 0.659475 1.208543 2.194429
2026-05-24 0.031956 0.075846 0.163048 0.339407 0.673005 1.255901 2.319092
2026-05-31 0.029441 0.072175 0.159307 0.339488 0.687040 1.304624 2.448174
2026-06-07 0.027227 0.068893 0.156016 0.340109 0.701969 1.355464 2.583100
2026-06-14 0.025689 0.066948 0.155263 0.345640 0.726407 1.424333 2.752870
2026-06-21 0.024551 0.065793 0.156045 0.354276 0.757245 1.506160 2.949367
2026-06-28 0.023040 0.063572 0.154332 0.357595 0.777786 1.569919 3.115784